The Acceleration of Life
Is it a Signal that Jesus is Returning Soon?by Dr. David R.
Reagan
Have you noticed how almost everything in life seems
to be accelerating in growth? Knowledge has exploded. We
are traveling faster and farther than ever before.
Instant, world wide communication has become common
place. And the power at our disposal is mind
boggling.
A Sign of the Times
The Bible teaches that this acceleration of
technology which we are experiencing will be a sign of
the end times — a sign that will signal the soon return
of the Lord.
Consider Daniel 12:4. In this verse the Lord tells
Daniel that one of the signs of the end times will be an
acceleration of travel and knowledge. Here's how the
verse reads in the Living Bible paraphrase:
Daniel, keep this prophecy a secret . . . Seal it
up so that it will not be understood until the end times
when travel and education shall be vastly
increased.
The same concept of end time acceleration is found in
the New Testament. Jesus spoke about it when He talked
with His disciples about the signs of the end times that
would herald His return (Matthew 24:5ff). He mentioned a
great variety of signs — spiritual, natural, societal,
and world political — and then He said these signs would
be like "birth pangs" (Matthew 24:8).
As the birth of a baby approaches, the birth pangs
increase two ways. They increase in frequency and
intensity. Thus, Jesus was saying that the closer we get
to the time of His return, the more frequent and intense
the signs will become. There will be more earthquakes
and more intense ones. Likewise things like famine,
pestilence and war will increase in frequency and
intensity.
The Mathematical
Concept
In mathematics
this acceleration is called an "exponential curve." This
term comes from what happens when rapid growth is
plotted on a chart. When graphing the growth of
something, the growth is considered to be on an
exponential curve when the plot line starts moving
vertically because the growth is so rapid. You can see a
classic example of this principle in the illustration on
this page of the growth of the Internet company, America
Online.
Now, the point is that the Bible indicates that the
exponential curve will be one of the signs of the end
times, and my thesis is that we are living in the midst
of the exponential curve. Therefore, we are living in
the end times.
Examples of the Curve
The 20th Century has been the century of the
exponential curve. Let's consider some examples.
1) Population — Demographers estimate that the
population of the world at the time of Christ was only
200 million. It took 1,650 years for the world's
population to double! But thereafter it began to double
very rapidly because the Industrial Revolution produced
modern medicine, which, in turn, reduced infant
mortality rates and increased longevity. As the
statistics below indicate, the rate of doubling has now
reached exponential proportions.
| Time of Christ |
-- -- |
200 million |
| 1,650 years |
1650
AD |
500
million |
| 200
years |
1850
AD |
1.3
billion |
| 100
years |
1950
AD |
2.5
billion |
| 30
years |
1980
AD |
4.5
billion |
2) Power — Throughout most of recorded
history, the maximum power at man's disposal consisted
of bows and arrows, spears, and catapults. Even at the
beginning of this century, war was still primitive.
World War I turned into a stagnant war of attrition
because neither side had sufficient power to break out
of the trenches.
Eighty years later, we have air power, armored power,
nuclear weapons, and sophisticated bacteriological and
chemical weapons. We have ICBM's that can deliver a
nuclear payload half way around the world. We have laser
guided missiles that can guide a bomb down a smoke
stack. And we have nuclear submarines that can circle
the globe without surfacing. Incredibly, just one of
those subs today has more firepower than all the bombs
dropped in World War II! It is no wonder the Bible says
that in the end times "men will faint with fear" over
the expectation of "the things which are coming upon the
world" (Luke 21:26).
3) Transportation — In 1900 the major means of
transportation was what it had always been throughout
history — namely, walking and riding a horse. Bicycles
had been invented, and the steam engine had been applied
to ships and trains. But steam powered transportation
was too expensive for most people.
I have photos that were taken in my home town of
Waco, Texas in 1912, and they clearly show that most
people were still getting around in horse drawn wagons
and carriages.
Today we have automobiles (usually two or more to a
family!) and airplanes. We have bullet trains that
travel 150 miles per hour and planes that travel faster
than the speed of sound. And then, of course, there are
rocket ships that take people into orbit around the
earth.
In 1866 Mark Twain traveled to the Holy Land. It took
him three months to get there. Today, a group can get on
a jet plane in New York and be in Tel Aviv in 13 hours
(and most will complain about how long the trip
took!).
In 1900 the average number of miles traveled per year
by a person inside the United States was 1,000. Today it
is 25,000 miles per year, and many of us put twice that
much mileage on an automobile in a year's time.
4) Communications — At the beginning of this
century the telegraph had speeded up communications
considerably, but the fundamental means which most
people used to get information was still the
newspaper.
Today our communication resources are overwhelming.
We have telephones, radio, and television. We have
exotic devices like fax machines, pagers, and cellular
phones. And we can communicate world wide through
satellites.
I never cease to be amazed when I see someone use a
credit card in an Arab shop in the Old City of
Jerusalem. The shop may be nothing but a primitive hole
in the wall, but over in some dark corner there will be
a machine where the merchant can swipe the card. A few
moments later he receives an authorization. During those
few moments, the card number has been transmitted to Tel
Aviv, from Tel Aviv to New York by satellite, from New
York to the credit card processing center somewhere in
the States, and then back to the Arab shop in
Jerusalem!
I am equally amazed at the way I can sit down at a
computer at my home or office and use the Internet to
send a letter in seconds to almost any place in the
world.
5) Computers — Computer technology has
contributed to the rapid acceleration of many aspects of
life, but it is interesting to note that the exponential
curve applies to the development of computers as well.
Anyone who tries to stay on the cutting edge of what is
new in computer equipment knows that it is a never
ending battle that requires a lot of money. Advances are
so rapid that equipment is out of date within a few
months.
In 1970 I was a professor at a college where we
bought an IBM computer for $100,000. The computer filled
a room and generated so much heat that we had to have
the room equipped with additional air conditioning. The
computer's memory was 64K!
Now, if you are not a computer buff, that may not
mean much to you, but keep reading because I'm going to
make it understandable; and in the process, I'm going to
illustrate how rapidly computer technology has
developed.
Ten years later in 1980, this ministry bought one of
the first desk top computers made. It was a Tandy TRS
80, Model II. It cost $4,800. When I turned it on, I was
astounded by the first thing that appeared on the
screen: "64K Memory." In ten years time we had gone from
a computer that weighed more than a ton to one that sat
on a desk top, and the price had dropped 95%. But the
memory was the same!
Ten years later in 1990, I went to Radio Shack and
bought an electronic Rolodex small enough to fit into
the palm of my hand. It cost $90. And when I turned it
on, guess what? The first message that appeared on the
screen was "64K Memory."
The first floppy disk that we used in the TRS 80 was
8" in size. It held 300,000 bytes of information. A few
years later the 5¼" disk appeared. It would hold 700,000
bytes. Then came the 3½" disk. Its capacity was 1.4
million bytes! Now the hottest thing going is the CD Rom
disk. I recently read an advertisement for a CD Rom disc
that contained 134,000 pages of theological documents,
the equivalent of 1,400 pounds of books!
6) Knowledge — The prophet Daniel was
specifically told that knowledge would vastly increase
in the end times, and it has. In fact, we have become so
overwhelmed with the flood of new information that it is
difficult to find wisdom anymore, because wisdom comes
from reflection on knowledge.
When I was in graduate school in the early ‘60s,
there were only two or three major academic journals in
each field of study. Today there are dozens in each
field, and they cannot begin to publish all the academic
articles that are being written. Many have to limit the
articles to one page abstracts, and even then most
articles are rejected for a lack of space.
Encyclopedias are out of date before they can be
printed. And I read recently where a research
organization had determined that one Sunday issue of the
New York Times contains more information than the
normal person in the 19th Century was exposed to in a
lifetime!
The most amazing thing to me in the area of
information is the World Wide Web that can be accessed
through the Internet. Using it, I can access the
documents of the Vatican in seconds, and then in a
matter of moments, I can go to the Israel Museum in
Jerusalem, or I can dart back to the Library of Congress
in Washington, D.C. In short, I can access information
all over the world without ever leaving my office.
7) Violence — I don't think I have to
emphasize that violence and lawlessness have been
increasing. But it is hard to comprehend how rapid the
increase has been in this century.
It is estimated by experts that the number of people
killed in all the wars fought from the time of Christ
until 1939 totals 50 million. In the next six years
(1939 through 1945), 57 million people died in World War
II. Since that time, almost 60 million have died in
armed conflicts, either in wars between nations or civil
wars within nations. This has been a century of
unparalleled carnage.
Within the United States, violent crime has increased
500% since 1960. During the same period, the country's
population increased only 41%.
8) Society — The disintegration of society has
multiplied in speed as violence, wickedness, and
immorality have increased exponentially. Jesus
prophesied this would happen when He said that end time
society would be like it was in the days of Noah
(Matthew 24:37-39).
I have witnessed the decaying of society with my own
eyes. I was born in 1938. When I was born, abortionists
were sent to prison. Pregnancy out of wedlock was
thought of as scandalous. Homosexuals were considered
queer. Pornography was despised as a sickness. Marriage
was sacred. Living together was taboo. Divorce was a
disgrace. Homemaking was honored, and day care was
provided by mothers in their homes. Child abuse was
unheard of. Ladies did not curse or smoke. "Damn" was
considered flagrant language in a movie. (A recent film
featuring Jack Lemon had the "f-word" in it 170 times in
120 minutes!)
I could go on and on about the many ways in which our
society (and societies around the world) have decided to
"call evil good and good evil" (Isaiah 5:20). But the
most dramatic way I can think of to illustrate how rapid
the deterioration of society has become in America is to
consider the results of a poll concerning public school
discipline problems. Consider the differing results
between the ‘40s and the ‘80s (and weep!):
The Top Public School Discipline
Problems
Mid-'40s 1) Talking 2) Chewing gum
3) Making noise 4) Running in the halls 5)
Getting out of turn in line 6) Wearing improper
clothing 7) Not putting paper in wastebaskets
Mid-'80s 1) Drug Abuse 2) Alcohol
Abuse 3) Pregnancy 4) Suicide 5) Rape 6)
Robbery 7) Assault (Source: Time
Magazine, February 1, 1988)
9) The Gospel —But not all the exponential
curves are bad. Modern technology has made it possible
for the Gospel to be preached to billions of people
through the use of such media as short wave radio,
motion pictures, and satellite television.
Billy Graham's recent broadcast from Puerto Rico was
carried by satellite to 185 countries and territories in
a total of 116 different languages!
In 1800 the Bible was available in 71 languages. By
1930 the count had risen dramatically to 900. Today, the
Bible has been published in 1,700 languages, with 1,000
more in progress. Computer technology has greatly
speeded up the translation process.
10) World Politics — The exponential curve
also applies to world events. Habakkuk 1:5 is as
relevant today as if it were written yesterday: "The
Lord replied, ‘Look, and be amazed! You will be
astounded at what I am about to do! For I am going to do
something in your own lifetime that you will have to see
to believe.'"
I took a Sabbatical in 1987 and wrote a book called
Trusting God. Seven years later, in 1994, I took
another Sabbatical and completely rewrote that book. The
exercise gave me an opportunity to reflect back over the
seven years between the two Sabbaticals. I was astounded
— even overwhelmed — by the rapidity and "stupendity" of
world events.
Who could have dreamed in 1987 that within the next
seven years any of the following events would have
occurred? —
- The tearing down of the Berlin Wall
- The peaceful liberation of Eastern Europe from
Communism
- The collapse of the Soviet Union
- The reunification of Germany
- The resurgence of Islam and its emergence as the
greatest threat to world peace
- The sending of 500,000 American troops to the
other side of the world to defend a country most
Americans had never heard of (Kuwait)
- The handshake between Rabin and Arafat that has
led to Israel surrendering its heartland to the PLO
In 1987 if you had predicted any of these
developments, you would have been written off as "nuts."
The rapidity of these events and their radical nature is
breathtaking. They underscore the possibility of the
impossible. And they certainly reveal that man is not in
control.
The Significance of the
Curve
So, what does all this mean to you and me? I would
mention at least three things.
First, the exponential curve is proof positive that
Bible prophecy is true. The Lord has told us what He is
going to do in the end times, and we had better pay
attention to it.
Second, the fulfillment of prophecy related to the
exponential curve shows that God is in control. Even
when it appears that everything on this earth is out of
control, we can be assured that God is orchestrating all
the chaos to the ultimate triumph of His Son in history
(Psalm 2).
Third, the exponential curve is very strong evidence
that we are living on borrowed time. It points to the
fact that Jesus is at the very gates of Heaven, waiting
for the command of His Father to return.
A Warning
I want to conclude by issuing a strong warning
against taking time for granted.
Many people are doing that today. They are saying,
"I'm going to get serious about the Lord when I get out
of school;" or "after I get a job;" or "after I'm
established in my job;" or "after I get married;" or
"after I get my children raised." Time is precious.
There is very little left. Now is the time
to get serious about the Lord.
Let me illustrate how critical the timing is by
returning to the exponential curve. Suppose you put one
bacterium in a jar, and assume it doubles every second.
How many bacteria do you think would exist in the jar at
the end of 30 seconds? The answer, incredibly, is
1,073,741,824. That's more than a billion in thirty
seconds! That's the ferocity of the exponential
curve.
Now, let's carry the illustration a step further. If
at the end of 30 seconds the jar is half full, how much
longer will it take for the jar to become full? The
answer is one second (because it will double in the next
second). That is the suddenness of the
exponential curve.
That's what the Bible means when it says that people
will be saying, "Peace and safety!" when "sudden
destruction" will come upon them (1 Thessalonians
5:3).
Are you taking time for granted? Don't do it.
Non-Christian, now is the time for
salvation. Christian, now is the time for
holiness.
A Postscript:
The exponential
curve illustrated is the one that could easily lead to
the destruction of the United States. It took over 200
years for the nation's debt to reach one trillion
dollars. Then, in only ten years, during the decade of
the ‘80s, the debt more than tripled!
As of April 1, 1996, the debt totaled 5.1 trillion.
With a population of 264 million, that means every man,
woman and child in American now owes $19,182.84. The
debt continues to run at the rate of one billion dollars
per day. Some experts estimate that by the year 2000,
all taxes collected will barely cover the interest due
on the debt. In short, America is bankrupt. |